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Index of Political Instability, 2009-2010

Source: Economist Intelligence Unite. Downloaded from

The Index of Political Instability prepared by the Economist Intelligence Unit is based on insight from political science literature that seeks to identify and quantify the main social, economic and political factors that are associated with, or that can predict, political instability. In particular, it draws on the work of the so-called Political Instability Task Force (PITF) based at George Mason University in the United States of America. The PITF has created a simple model that has a rate of success of over 80% in identifying, ex post, outbreaks of serious instability for a data set that stretches back to 1955.

This figure displays the results for selected European countries as well as for China, India and the United States of America. Surprisingly, both India and China are ranked as politically more stable than the United States of America, or various European countries, such as Slovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria or Estonia. While these index rankings are reported here, the author is a bit skeptical concerning the validity of the results.

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This data section was updated on 18 December 2011

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Copyright 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 by Gerhard K. Heilig. All rights reserved. - 18 April 2012