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This population pyramid from the 1990 census
tells the dramatic story of China's population history for several
decades. For instance, one can see China's "baby boom" which peaked in
the late 1960s and early 1970s. The baby boom actually started in the
1950 with those generations that - in 1990 - were 35 to 40 years of
age. Then the demographic disaster of the "Great Leap Forward" cut
down the cohorts to half their size. The number of people that were 28
to 31 years of age in 1990 (that is, they were born between 1959 and
1963) is substantially smaller than the generations before and
afterwards. This severe "cut" in China's age structure is due to the
deficit of birth during the Great Leap Forward. It is well known that
during severe famine years fertility declines sharply. After the Great
Leap Forward births rapidly increased again. The largest cohorts were
between 16 and 26 years of age in 1990 - that is they where born
between 1964 and 1974.
Then the Chinese family planning program
obviously took effect. The birth cohorts rapidly declined. Those
children, that were between 4 and 11 in 1990, belonged to the smallest
birth cohorts after the baby boom. They were born between 1978 and
1985.
At the bottom of the Chinese population
pyramid one can again see large cohorts, that were born between 1985
and 1990. They are almost as large as the birth cohorts during the
"baby boom" years. However, these large number of birth are just the
"echo effect" of the baby boom between the mid-1960s and mid-1970s.
The large baby boom generation had their (first) children - and
despite the fact, that each couple should have had only one child, the
total number of births was high, because of the large number of
parents. The average fertility during the early 1990s was also still
more than two children. |